Thursday, January 16, 2020


Trump is a criminal. THE TRUMP PRESIDENCY: 3 YEARS IN 🏌️‍♂️TRUMP 🔸Trump has spent 86 days at a golf club in 2019 alone and 337 days visiting at least one Trump-branded property, amounting to nearly a third of his time in office (WaPo, NYT) and over $118 million in U.S. taxpayer costs - more than $12 million more than the conservative group Judicial Watch’s estimate for Obama’s total travel costs over two full terms (HuffPost); 🔸 Around 60% of Trump's scheduled time at the White House is spent in unstructured "Executive Time" (Axios); 🔸Trump has made at least 15,413 false or misleading claims, averaging nearly 15 fishy claims a day, and increasing to almost 32 lies a day since the last update over 62 days ago (WaPo); 🔸Trump has attacked someone or something in more than half of his thousands of tweets (NYT); 🔸Trump has churned 80% of his most senior aides, and 35% of those White House “A-Team” jobs have turned over twice or more – a record that rivals the entire 4-year terms of his predecessors (Brookings); 🔸About 30% of Senate-confirmable positions are not permanently filled, more than 50% of such positions are not filled at the Justice Department, and 12 of the 24 top-level roles listed at the DHS website are either acting or vacant (WaPo, Partnership for Public Service); 🔸Trump has hired 281 lobbyists to his administration by the halfway point of his first term, an amount that is four times more than President Obama hired six years into office (ProPublica, Columbia Journalism Investigations); 🔸Trump has hired more former lobbyists to his cabinet than Obama or former President George W. Bush did during their entire two terms (AP). https://www.washingtonpost.com/…/nearly-third-days-hes-bee…/ https://www.nytimes.com/…/tracking-trumps-visits-to-his-bra… https://www.huffpost.com/…/trump-golf-again-mar-a-lago-118-… https://www.axios.com/donald-trump-private-schedules-leak-e… https://www.washingtonpost.com/…/president-trump-has-made-…/ https://www.nytimes.com/…/pol…/trump-twitter-presidency.html https://www.brookings.edu/…/tracking-turnover-in-the-trump…/ https://ourpublicservice.org/political-appointee-tracker/ https://www.propublica.org/…/we-found-a-staggering-281-lobb… https://apnews.com/08dce0f5f9c24a6aa355cd0aab3747d9 🤞PROMISES 🔸Trump has failed to keep over 82% of his campaign promises (PolitiFact), and that’s despite Republicans having control of all three branches of government for two-thirds of the time; 🔸No “repeal and replacement” of Obamacare; 🔸No “$4,000 pay hike”; 🔸No balanced budget or eliminated debt; 🔸No end to endless wars; 🔸Ex-GOP Rep. Justin Amash (I): "More American troops are now in the Middle East than at the end of President Obama's term. The rate of drone strikes is up, too. President Trump is not ending wars; he's expanding them. He's not bringing troops home; he's sending them there." 🔸Note: Trump has only just begun building 8 miles of an original new border wall, which represents only half of half of half of half of half of half of half of one-percent of his proposed border wall, which covers only half of the nearly 2,000-mile-long border with Mexico (CBP, NYT). https://www.politifact.com/truth-o-me…/promises/trumpometer/ https://www.nytimes.com/20…/…/31/opinion/year-in-charts.html 📜LEGISLATION 🔸Trump has failed to pass 100% and partially pass 80% of his proposed 100-day legislative agenda (WaPo); 🔸During his first year, Trump signed the fewest number of bills into law in over half a century (GovTrack), with more than half of those near record-low laws having to do with naming/stating something and modifying existing programs (NPR). 🔸Legislation signed into law by Trump will add $4.7 trillion to the debt through the end of 2029 (Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget); 🔸Trump’s signature but hastily written tax law has failed to pay for itself, raise real wages, simplify the code, overcome the tariffs, boost hiring or investment, and bring back $4 trillion in offshore cash, missing by $3.3T; 🔸Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (R): "There's no evidence whatsoever that the money's been massively poured back into the American worker." 🔸Fmr. Tennessee Sen. Bob Corker (R): Tax cuts could be "one of the worst votes I've made." 🔸National Debt Clock Manager Douglas Durst: “The tax cut was an overall step in the wrong direction. Nobody who has any background in economics thought the tax bill was a good idea." https://www.washingtonpost.com/…/three-years-later-evaluat…/ https://govtrackinsider.com/falling-from-first-to-last-pres… https://www.npr.org/…/trump-signed-96-laws-in-2017-here-is-… https://www.crfb.org/…/president-trump-has-signed-4-7-trill… https://americansfortaxfairness.org/…/Chartbook-Trump-GOP-T… ✂️DEREGULATION 🔸Trump has failed to push through more than 94% of his court-challenged deregulatory efforts (Institute for Policy Integrity); 🔸About a third of Trump’s first-year deregulatory actions were started under Obama, while other actions had little impact, were part of actions typically taken by the federal government, or have not yet gone into effect (Bloomberg). https://policyintegrity.org/trump-court-roundup https://www.bloomberg.com/…/trump-stretches-meaning-of-dere… 🏦ECONOMY 🔸Trump has failed to achieve 3% or “4%, 5%, and even 6% growth,” ranking 7th in GDP growth among presidents since Eisenhower, behind even Carter and Nixon (BEA), and that’s despite three Fed rate cuts, one-time globally synchronized growth, the Chinese pre-purchase of soybeans, a full year tax cut stimulus, and the doubling of deficit spending at the tail end of the longest economic expansion in U.S. history; 🔸This year’s deficit of almost $1 trillion is up by half from the year before the tax cuts and about double the average deficit in Obama’s last three years (CBO); 🔸Trump lags behind Obama and H.W. Bush’s stock market gains, even if you count the 2016 post-election day market rally (FactSet), and when only about half of Americans own stocks, “largely through retirement accounts” (WaPo, Fed); 🔸The latest 145k m/m gain in payrolls puts the hiring tally under Trump at a term avg of 193k per month. That’s notably shy of Obama’s last 3 years in office when gains averaged 224k per month (1.1 million more workers in total) (BLS); 🔸Only 40% of America's workers say they are working in "good" jobs (Gallup); 🔸44% of all American workers can barely make ends meet, earning $18,000/year (Brookings Institute); 🔸Wage growth was just 0.4% in the two years since the tax cut, compared to 0.7% in the last two years of Obama (BLS); 🔸Almost two-thirds of Americans said their finances haven't gotten better since Trump has taken office, with 31% of respondents saying their finances have actually gotten worse, according to a new Financial Times-Peterson poll. 🔸Business investment has generally trended down and has recently fallen into negative territory (BEA); 🔸Factory activity contracted for the fifth consecutive month in December (ISM), while manufacturing is now smallest share of U.S. economy in 72 years (BEA); 🔸In addition to the decline in jobs last month, another standout for workers in the manufacturing sector has been the pullback of hours, which in Dec remained stuck at 2011 levels (BLS). 🔸Farming is facing the worst economic crisis in almost 30 years (Axios). https://twitter.com/SteveRattner/status/1189891585003151365… https://www.latimes.com/…/2020…/donald-trump-tax-cut-deficit https://www.axios.com/trump-stock-market-gain-obama-bush-d4… https://www.washingtonpost.com/…/da76a8a0-282e-11ea-ad73-2f… https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/ces0000000001… https://www.gallup.com/…/great-jobs-lumina-gates-omidyar-ga… https://www.brookings.edu/…/low-wage-work-is-more-pervasiv…/ https://www.epi.org/nominal-wage-tracker/#chart1 https://www.ft.com/con…/ce7e9f7c-fc13-11e9-a354-36acbbb0d9b6 https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm… https://www.wsj.com/…/u-s-factory-sector-contracts-for-fift… https://www.bloomberg.com/…/manufacturing-is-now-smallest-s… https://www.bls.gov/…/average-weekly-hours-of-production-em… https://www.axios.com/tough-times-in-farm-country-economy-a… 🌎WORLD 🔸U.S. leadership sank to its lowest point in nearly two decades in 2017, shattering the previous record low of 34% in the last year of George W. Bush's second term, and more than tripling the number of countries where the majorities disapprove of U.S. leadership (Gallup); 🔸China's median global approval rating sits at 34% — the country's highest score since 2009. Meanwhile, the U.S. has a 31% approval rating, which is only a 1% increase from the "new record low" seen during the first year of Trump's presidency. 2018 also marks the first time that the global approval rating of Russia — currently at 30% — has been on equal ground with the U.S. (Gallup); 🔸64% internationally say they lack confidence in Trump to do the right thing in world affairs (Pew); 🔸41% of Germans believe President Trump is more of a threat to world peace than North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un, Russian President Vladimir Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping or Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (YouGov); 🔸Late Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.): Obama better than Trump "as far as American leadership is concerned." https://news.gallup.com/…/world-approval-leadership-drops-n… https://news.gallup.com/…/image-leadership-poorer-china.aspx https://www.pewresearch.org/…/trump-ratings-remain-low-aro…/ https://www.axios.com/germany-trump-dangerous-putin-kim-xi-… ⚖️JUDGES 🔸Trump has succeeded in reshaping the judiciary in his image and for a generation, naming more than a quarter of all appeals court judges (ACS); 🔸Nearly two-thirds of the confirmed lifetime judges during this administration have been white men and approximately 86% of all the confirmed judges have been white (ACS); 🔸A third of the more than 50 circuit court judges nominated by Trump have a “demonstrated history of anti-LGBTQ bias” (Lambda Legal); 🔸Nine Trump-nominated judges have been deemed “not qualified” by the American Bar Association (ABA); 🔸Note: Democratic appointees have more majorities on the federal appeals courts, district courts, and the U.S. Court of International Trade, while the Supreme Court only hears between 70 and 90 cases a year, and largely agreeing on most of its cases. https://www.acslaw.org/…/a-fifth-of-the-federal-bench-mode…/ https://www.lambdalegal.org/…/trump-judicial-nominees-repor… https://www.americanbar.org/…/co…/federal_judiciary/ratings/ 🚨CRIMES 🔸*Bribery (18 U.S.C. § 201); 🔸*Soliciting foreign campaign contributions (52 U.S.C. §§ 30109, 30121); 🔸*Coercion of political activity (18 U.S.C. § 610); 🔸*Misappropriation of federal funds (18 U.S.C. § 641); 🔸*Obstruction of Congress (18 U.S.C. §§ 1505, 1512); 🔸Abuse of Power (“other high Crimes and Misdemeanors”); 🔸Emoluments (Article I, Section 9, Paragraph 8); 🔸Perjury for lying under oath during the Mueller investigation about his access to Kremlin cut-out/hostile non-state intelligence service Wikileaks; 🔸Ten instances of Obstruction of Justice (The Mueller Report: Volume II); 🔸*Causing American Media Inc. (AMI) to make and/or accepting (or causing his then lawyer Michael Cohen to accept) an unlawful corporate contribution related to Karen McDougal; 🔸*Two instances of causing Cohen to make and/or accepting an unlawful individual contributions related to Stephanie Clifford and February 2015 online polling; 🔸*Two instances of causing Donald J. Trump for President LLC’s failure to report contributions from AMI and Cohen related to McDougal and Clifford; 🔸*Causing Donald J. Trump for President LLC to file false reports with the Federal Election Commission (FEC); 🔸*Making a false statement by failing to disclose liability to Cohen for the Clifford payment on his 2017 public financial disclosure form; 🔸*Conspiracy to defraud the United States by undermining the lawful function of the FEC and/or violating federal campaign finance law related to “hush money” payments, false statements, and cover-ups of reimbursement payments to Cohen made by the Trump Organization; 🔸Multiple instances in which he told banks and tax agencies radically different things about the same properties, the same income streams and the same expenses (ProPublica); 🔸Trump University and Trump Foundation shut down due to illegal activity; 🔸Potentially the collusive crimes of conspiracy to commit election fraud, conspiracy to defraud US, aiding and abetting computer crimes**, bribery**, money laundering, illegal solicitation of donations**, obstruction, witness tampering, making false statements, and FARA/RICO crimes; 🔸Arguably Treason. *Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW), which has tallied more than 2,782 conflicts of interest in the 1,079 days Trump has been in office, resulting from his decision to retain his business interests. **Preponderance proof https://www.citizensforethics.org/criminal-abuse-of-power-…/ https://www.citizensforethics.org/a-campaign-to-defraud-2/ https://www.propublica.org/…/trump-inc-podcast-never-before… https://www.citizensforethics.org/trump-conflicts-of-inter…/ 👩‍⚖️CONVICTED 🔸TRUMP Campaign Advisor (Stone) 🔸TRUMP Campaign Manager (Manafort) 🔸TRUMP Campaign Manager Associate (Kilimnik) 🔸TRUMP Deputy Campaign Manager (Gates) 🔸TRUMP Deputy Campaign Manager Associate (van der Swaan) 🔸TRUMP Lawyer (Cohen) 🔸TRUMP NatSec Advisor (Flynn) 🔸TRUMP NatSec Adviser (Papadopoulos) 🔸TRUMP Transition Advisor (Kian) 🏛INDICTED 🔸TRUMP Lawyer Associate (Parnas) 🔸TRUMP Lawyer Associate (Frumnan) 🔸TRUMP's 1st Supporter in Congress (Collins) 🔸TRUMP's 2nd Supporter in Congress (Hunter) 👮‍♂️CHARGED 🔸TRUMP Campaign Advisor (Nader) 🔸TRUMP Inaugural Donor (Zuberi) 🕵️‍♂️UNDER INVESTIGATION 🔸TRUMP Lawyer (Giuliani) 🔸TRUMP SOME FACTS ABOUT IMPEACHMENT (Trump vs. Clinton) Key witnesses blocked by the president: 12 vs. 0 Subpoenaed witnesses blocked by the president: 9 vs. 0 Major document subpoenas blocked by the president: 5 (100%) vs. 0 (0%) Wholesale defiance of document requests: Yes (All 71 administration requests ignored) vs. No Documents produced by the president: 0 vs. more than 90,000 pages # of witnesses who testified in Senate trial: ? vs. 3 (who had already testified in the Starr investigation) SOME FACTS ABOUT AMERICANS🇺🇸 # of Americans: 327,200,000 # of Americans who are eligible to vote: 250,000,000 # of Americans who voted in 2016: 142,300,000 # of Americans who voted for Trump in 2016: 62,984,828 % of Americans who voted for Trump: 19% *Never* lose sight of this. # of Americans who voted for a House Dem in 2018: 61M. 20M more than Dems previous best midterm (2006), 15M more than 2010 R wave that took 63 seats. #Vote #FactsDOmatter credited to Daniel Stolz

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